This year's Geneva auto show looks short on major production car launches.
Just consider the models we are not going to see. We'll have to wait until this autumn's Paris auto show for the Peugeot 307, the Renault Laguna, the Citroen Xantia and the Mercedes C-class. And we'll have to wait until Birmingham for the new Mini and the Jaguar X400 preview.
Also due later in the year are the new Fiat Bravo/Brava, the Citroen Xsara update, the new Ford Mondeo, the new Audi A4 and the Volvo S60. Any one of these models would probably dominate the headlines at Geneva.
Of course, there could always be a couple of surprises on press day (Tuesday, February 29). But at the time of writing, there was not a single volume, production car debut announced for Geneva.
Yes, there'll be the Alfa 156 Sport Wagon, the Chrysler Sebring, Ferrari 360 Spider, Ford Galaxy, Mazda Tribute/Ford Escape, Mitsubishi Pajero/Shogun, Nissan QX, GM Agila/Suzuki New Wagon R+, the production Renault Avantime, and the GM Speedster.
But they're all updates, or derivatives, or niche vehicles - or they have been seen already.
Signs are that Geneva is becoming, more than ever, the show for concept cars, oddities, styling experiments - or, perhaps most importantly, for meeting industry heavyweights. Geneva is the place to make contacts, and to talk to the people who run Europe's car industry.
The most important cars at the show are still in concept form.
The Fiat Ecobasic previews a A5,000 minicar due in 2005. The Renault Koleos takes segment-merging to a new level. It's a luxury minivan/coupe/off-roader derived from the Avantime, and could form the basis of a new flagship Nissan.
And Peugeot shows that the large 607 sedan platform can be successfully used for derivatives, with roadster and minivan concepts.